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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Kenny Lawler
age 21.8 · 6'2" · 203 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 50% and the realistic range is No. 71 to No. 255.
rank#212
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Kenny Lawler at pick #212; he was actually picked #243 by SEA.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#212WR·California
We had him No. 212 on draft night; SEA didn't call his name until No. 243 — a 31-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Kenny Lawler at #212 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and SEA took him at No. 243, 31 picks later than our grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 50%, elevated against the position baseline. The room had him #124 pre-draft; our board sat 88 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 6, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Draftanomics Pick
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports