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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Brandon Doughty
age 24.6 · 6'3" · 213 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 48% and the realistic range is No. 132 to No. 266.
Conference USA→ MIA's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Brandon Doughty at pick #215; he was actually picked #223 by MIA.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#215QB·Western Kentucky
We had him No. 215 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — MIA took him at No. 223. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Brandon Doughty at #215 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and MIA took him at No. 223. Bust risk projects at 48%, elevated against the position baseline.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk5
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports