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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Kelvin Taylor
age 22.6 · 5'10" · 207 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 64% and the realistic range is No. 71 to No. 219.
rank#174$1M
Limited public-board coverage (2 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Kelvin Taylor at pick #174; he was actually picked #211 by SFO.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#174RB·Florida
We had him No. 174 on draft night; SFO didn't call his name until No. 211 — a 37-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Kelvin Taylor at #174 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and SFO took him at No. 211, 37 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 64% — well above the position median; the model is flagging this as a high-variance pick. The room had him #153 pre-draft; our board sat 21 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 5, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk4
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports