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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Malcolm Mitchell
age 22.8 · 6'0" · 198 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 32% and the realistic range is No. 67 to No. 251.
rank#208
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Malcolm Mitchell at pick #208; he was actually picked #112 by NWE. 1 NFL season in, he's producing like a real starter (grading 15.2 of 20 per season). So far, the league's aggression looks right.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#208WR·Georgia
The league moved faster than our board — NWE took him at No. 112, 96 picks ahead of our No. 208 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Malcolm Mitchell at #208 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and NWE took him at No. 112, 96 picks earlier than our grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 32%, near the position baseline. The room had him #158 pre-draft; our board sat 50 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 6, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports