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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Tyler Matakevich
age 23.3 · 6'0" · 238 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 44% and the realistic range is No. 41 to No. 229.
rank#121$1.2M
American Athletic→ PIT's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Tyler Matakevich at pick #121; he was actually picked #246 by PIT. 2 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 1.0 of 20 per season). So far, the league's caution is winning the argument.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#121OLB·Temple
We had him No. 121 on draft night; PIT didn't call his name until No. 246 — a 125-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Tyler Matakevich at #121 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and PIT took him at No. 246, 125 picks later than our grade. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 44%, elevated against the position baseline. The room had him #69 pre-draft; our board sat 52 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — and it updates whenever the model does. See for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports