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2015 NFL Draft prospect
Joe Cardona
6'2" · 242 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 29% and the realistic range is No. 117 to No. 214.
American Athletic→ NWE's 2015 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Joe Cardona at pick #48; he was actually picked #166 by NWE.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#48LS·Navy
We had him No. 48 on draft night; NWE didn't call his name until No. 166 — a 118-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Joe Cardona at #48 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and NWE took him at No. 166, 118 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 29%, near the position baseline.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports