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2015 NFL Draft prospect
Dexter McDonald
age 23.4
On the live board, bust risk sits at 40% and the realistic range is No. 103 to No. 237.
Big 12→ OAK's 2015 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Dexter McDonald at pick #186; he was actually picked #242 by OAK. 3 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 3.9 of 20 per season), and the second-contract question is still open — no new deal yet.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#186CB·Kansas
We had him No. 186 on draft night; OAK didn't call his name until No. 242 — a 56-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports