Refreshed just now
2015 NFL Draft prospect
Marcus Hardison
age 23.2
On the live board, bust risk sits at 71% and the realistic range is No. 126 to No. 276.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Marcus Hardison at pick #183; he was actually picked #135 by CIN.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#183EDGE·Arizona St.
The league moved faster than our board — CIN took him at No. 135, 48 picks ahead of our No. 183 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Marcus Hardison at #183 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and CIN took him at No. 135, 48 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 71% — well above the position median; the model is flagging this as a high-variance pick.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports