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2015 NFL Draft prospect
Amarlo Herrera
age 23.6 · 6'1" · 244 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 16% and the realistic range is No. 133 to No. 267.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Amarlo Herrera at pick #216; he was actually picked #207 by IND. 1 NFL season in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 0.2 of 20 per season).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#216ILB·Georgia
We had him No. 216 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — IND took him at No. 207. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports