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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Miles Killebrew
age 23.0 · 6'2" · 217 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 0% and the realistic range is No. 33 to No. 221.
rank#113$1.2M
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Miles Killebrew at pick #113; he was actually picked #111 by DET. 2 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 3.8 of 20 per season).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#113S·Southern Utah
We had him No. 113 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — DET took him at No. 111. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Miles Killebrew at #113 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and DET took him at No. 111. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 0%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #141 pre-draft; our board was 28 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 4, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk0
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports