Guard G
Same inputs as tackle, with slightly more emphasis on Senior Bowl + Pro Day testing.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many guards land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 13 guards with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2019 board, tier by tier.
Jonah Williams out of Alabama is the blue-chip tier by himself, projected No. 3 overall. The drop behind Williams is the story — Chris Lindstrom does not come off the board for another 34 picks.
Nobody here. The class simply skips the first-round tier at guard.
The Day 2 tier runs from Chris Lindstrom at No. 37 down to Connor McGovern at No. 81. Mind the gap after McGovern: Dru Samia is next, and he is 26 picks away. The model is planting a flag on Ben Powers, 64 spots ahead of where the room ranks him (No. 113).
Dru Samia leads a 8-deep Day 3 group — the meat of the G board — starting at a projected No. 107 overall. One caution flag: the bust model — a group it reads well at guard — puts Ross Pierschbacher at 73 percent.