2020 class · 20 prospects

Defensive tackle DT

Sacks + TFLs + Senior Bowl. Athletic testing weighted higher for IDL than EDGE.

Likeliest career, by the outcome model.

How many defensive tackles land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.

Elite
1
Pro-Bowl-caliber career
Starter
3
Multi-year NFL starter
Role
10
Rotational / depth
Bust
6
Likeliest outcome is a bust
Likeliest career across the DT class
Elite
1
Starter
3
Role
10
Bust
6

The board.

All 20 defensive tackles with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2020 board, tier by tier.

Blue Chip1 player

The blue-chip shelf is one name deep: Derrick Brown out of Auburn, pegged at No. 6 overall. The drop to Javon Kinlaw is 12 projected picks: a step, not a cliff.

6
Derrick Brown
Auburn· consensus #6
A blue-chip grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 6.
Blue Chip
bust risk 6%
1st Round1 player

The first-round shelf is one name deep: Javon Kinlaw out of South Carolina, pegged at No. 18 overall. Then the board falls off a cliff — 38 projected picks between Kinlaw and Raekwon Davis, the next name down.

18
Javon Kinlaw
South Carolina· consensus #12
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 12.
1st Round
bust risk 6%
Day 25 players

The Day 2 tier runs 5 deep, opening with Raekwon Davis out of Alabama at No. 56 and closing with Ross Blacklock at No. 96. The drop behind Blacklock is the story — DaVon Hamilton does not come off the board for another 23 picks. Notably clean, too — nobody in the group trips the bust model, which has real signal at defensive tackle.

56
Raekwon Davis
Alabama· consensus #95
A Day 2 grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 95.
Day 2
bust risk 11%
65
Jordan Elliott
Texas· consensus #74
A Day 2 grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 74.
Day 2
bust risk 20%
66
Neville Gallimore
Oklahoma· consensus #44
A Day 2 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 44.
Day 2
bust risk 6%
77
Nnamdi Madubuike
Texas A&M
A Day 2 grade, No. 77 on our board.
Day 2
bust risk 6%
96
Ross Blacklock
TCU· consensus #33
A Day 2 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 33.
Day 2
bust risk 6%
Day 313 players

This is where the class lives: 13 defensive tackles carry a Day 3 grade, with DaVon Hamilton out of Ohio St. at the front of the line at No. 119 overall. The room is higher on Leki Fotu than we are: consensus No. 69 to our No. 202.

119
DaVon Hamilton
Ohio St.· consensus #92
A Day 3 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 92.
Day 3
bust risk 15%
134
James Lynch
Baylor· consensus #112
A Day 3 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 112.
Day 3
bust risk 44%
174
McTelvin Agim
Arkansas· consensus #91
A Day 3 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 91.
Day 3
bust risk 46%