Cornerback CB
INTs/PBUs per game + speed + agility. The bust model is weakest at cornerback — treat predictions as directional.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many cornerbacks land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 28 cornerbacks with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2018 board, tier by tier.
No blue-chip cornerback this cycle — Denzel Ward is the class's best, and he carries the next grade down.
The first-round tier is a pair: Denzel Ward out of Ohio St. at No. 23, with Jaire Alexander at No. 27 behind him. After Alexander the board breathes — Josh Jackson projects 11 picks later. Denzel Ward is the tier's dissent — the room ranks him No. 8, our board waits until No. 23.
The Day 2 tier runs 6 deep, opening with Josh Jackson out of Iowa at No. 38 and closing with D.J. Reed at No. 76. Mind the gap after Reed: Donte Jackson is next, and he is 36 picks away. The model is planting a flag on D.J. Reed, 76 spots ahead of where the room ranks him (No. 152).
This is where the class lives: 20 cornerbacks carry a Day 3 grade, with Donte Jackson out of LSU at the front of the line at No. 112 overall. The room is higher on Jermaine Kelly than we are: consensus No. 160 to our No. 231.