Center C
Same inputs as tackle, with slightly more emphasis on Senior Bowl + Pro Day testing.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many centers land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 7 centers with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2020 board, tier by tier.
The top shelf is bare: no center in the 2020 class earns a blue-chip grade.
Tyler Biadasz out of Wisconsin fronts a three-man first-round tier at No. 15 overall, with Ruiz and Cushenberry filling it out. The break below is soft: Matt Hennessy projects just 7 projected picks after Cushenberry, so the tier line is a label more than a wall. No red flags either — the tier's worst bust number is just 6 percent, from a model that reads centers well.
The Day 2 tier is a pair: Matt Hennessy out of Temple at No. 36, with Nick Harris at No. 54 behind him. The drop behind Harris is the story — Jake Hanson does not come off the board for another 58 picks. Notably clean, too — nobody in the group trips the bust model, which has real signal at center.
Jake Hanson and Keith Ismael make up the Day 3 tier, projected No. 112 and No. 143 overall. The risk in the group is Jake Hanson: 70 percent by a bust model that has earned trust at center.