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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2022 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
KD
Kalia Davis
DT · Central Florida
23.6 yo · 6'1" · 302 lb
DD
DJ Davidson
DT · Arizona St.
24.6 yo · 6'3" · 327 lb
EO
Esezi Otomewo
DT · Minnesota
23.1 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kalia Davis
Predicted pick
#216
range #75–#259
Bust probability
41%
Consensus rank
#64
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
DJ Davidson
Predicted pick
#225
range #88–#240
Bust probability
30%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Esezi Otomewo
Predicted pick
#155
range #98–#248
Bust probability
22%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kalia Davis· EDGE / DL / LB
  • DJ Davidson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Esezi Otomewo· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKalia Davis100
  • AthleticismDJ Davidson41
  • AgeKalia Davis42
  • ConsensusKalia Davis29
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kalia Davis50
  • Breakout ageKalia Davis50
  • WorkloadKalia Davis100
  • RAS × productionKalia Davis0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kalia Davis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
DJ Davidson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Esezi Otomewo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kalia Davis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
DJ Davidson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Esezi Otomewo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kalia DavisDJ DavidsonEsezi Otomewo· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kalia Davis

−0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; −0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100

DJ Davidson

−0.08 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 scout consensus

Esezi Otomewo

−0.04 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus