3 prospects · 2022 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Zach Tom as a Day 2 pick at #40 (range #16-#64, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jermaine Eluemunor, Tyler Biadasz (Franchise), Jack Driscoll (Contributor). Ceiling is Ezra Cleveland (Franchise); floor is Jermaine Eluemunor. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 54 spots ahead of the room (board #40 vs consensus #94), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Bernhard Raimann as a first-round pick at #19 (range #6-#32, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Matt Hennessy (Contributor), Matt Peart (Contributor), Josh Jones (Starter). Ceiling is Josh Jones (Starter); floor is Ben Bartch (Contributor). 1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Logan Stenberg. Mixed signal from history. The call is a value lean: #19 against a consensus #48 is a 29-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with comp group has bust risk the tax on that edge.
Draftanomics projects Cole Strange as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #67 (range #50-#84, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Matt Hennessy (Contributor), Keith Ismael (Contributor), Matt Peart (Contributor). Ceiling is Matt Hennessy (Contributor); floor is Keith Ismael (Contributor). The call is a value lean: #67 against a consensus #85 is a 18-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.