3 prospects · 2021 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Wyatt Davis as a Day 2 pick at #43 (range #36-#50, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 68% — scary. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Joshua Garnett, Braden Smith (Franchise), Quenton Nelson (Franchise). Ceiling is Quenton Nelson (Franchise); floor is Joshua Garnett. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #43 sits within 5 spots of the room's #48 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 68% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Liam Eichenberg as a Day 2 pick at #41 (range #1-#100, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Isaiah Prince (Contributor), Isaiah Wynn (Starter), Vadal Alexander. Ceiling is Isaiah Wynn (Starter); floor is Vadal Alexander. School SP+ 21.0 (FBS INDEPENDENTS). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #41 sits within 9 spots of the room's #50 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Alijah Vera-Tucker as a first-round pick at #17 (range #10-#24, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Germain Ifedi, Mike McGlinchey (Franchise), Quenton Nelson (Franchise). Ceiling is Quenton Nelson (Franchise); floor is Germain Ifedi. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #17 sits within 2 spots of the room's #19 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.