3 prospects · 2021 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Elijah Moore (age 21.1 at draft) as a first-round pick at #22 (range #1-#66, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: A.J. Brown (Franchise), N'Keal Harry (Contributor), Kelvin Harmon (Bust). Ceiling is Courtland Sutton (Franchise); floor is N'Keal Harry (Contributor). The call is a value lean: #22 against a consensus #36 is a 14-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Rashod Bateman (age 21.4 at draft) as a top-10 pick at #9 (range #1-#68, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: N'Keal Harry (Contributor), A.J. Brown (Franchise), Christian Kirk (Franchise). Ceiling is Christian Kirk (Franchise); floor is Dillon Mitchell. The call is a value lean: #9 against a consensus #28 is a 19-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Dyami Brown (age 21.5 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #60 (range #46-#74, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: JJ Arcega-Whiteside (Contributor), James Washington (Contributor), Marquise Brown (Starter). Ceiling is Marquise Brown (Starter); floor is James Washington (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #60 sits within 8 spots of the room's #68 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.