3 prospects · 2021 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Teven Jenkins as a first-round pick at #18 (range #5-#31, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jack Conklin, Andre Dillard (Contributor), James Daniels (Starter). Ceiling is Connor Williams (Franchise); floor is Dion Dawkins. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #18 sits within 12 spots of the room's #30 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Rashawn Slater as a first-round pick at #14 (range #4-#24, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: James Daniels (Starter), Andre Dillard (Contributor), Connor Williams (Franchise). Ceiling is Connor Williams (Franchise); floor is Andre Dillard (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #14 sits within 3 spots of the room's #11 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Penei Sewell as a first-round pick at #11 (range #3-#19, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Erik McCoy (Franchise), Garett Bolles, Connor Williams (Franchise). Ceiling is Erik McCoy (Franchise); floor is Andre Dillard (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #11 sits within 7 spots of the room's #4 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.