Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2021 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OL)
TJ
Teven Jenkins
OL · Oklahoma St.
— · 6'5" · 317 lb
PS
Penei Sewell
OL · Oregon
— · 6'4" · 331 lb
SC
Samuel Cosmi
OL · Texas
— · 6'5" · 314 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Teven Jenkins
Predicted pick
#18
range #5–#31
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
0%comp-based · 0/3
Consensus rank
#26
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Penei Sewell
Predicted pick
#11
range #3–#19
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
0%comp-based · 0/4
Consensus rank
#3
on 28 boards
Career arc
Franchise
tier · 1st Round
2nd-deal AAV
$28Mmodel
Samuel Cosmi
Predicted pick
#34
range #24–#44
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
0%comp-based · 0/3
Consensus rank
#41
on 26 boards
Career arc
Starter
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$17Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Teven Jenkins· Offensive line
  • Penei Sewell· Offensive line
  • Samuel Cosmi· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTeven Jenkins50
  • AthleticismSamuel Cosmi72
  • AgeSamuel Cosmi51
  • ConsensusPenei Sewell100
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Teven Jenkins50
  • Breakout ageTeven Jenkins50
  • WorkloadTeven Jenkins50
  • RAS × productionTeven Jenkins0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Andre DillardOT · Contributor→ shared byTeven JenkinsPenei SewellSamuel Cosmi
  • Jack ConklinOT · TBD→ shared byTeven JenkinsSamuel Cosmi
  • James DanielsC · Starter→ shared byTeven JenkinsSamuel Cosmi
  • Connor WilliamsOT · Franchise→ shared byTeven JenkinsPenei Sewell
Teven Jenkins
  • Jack Conklinshared
    OT · #8
    TBD
  • Andre Dillardshared
    OT · #22
    Contributor
  • James Danielsshared
    C · #39
    Starter
  • Connor Williamsshared
    OT · #50
    Franchise
  • Dion Dawkins
    G · #63
    TBD
Penei Sewell
  • Erik McCoy
    C · #48
    Franchise
  • Garett Bolles
    OT · #20
    TBD
  • Connor Williamsshared
    OT · #50
    Franchise
  • Cody Ford
    OT · #38
    Starter
  • Andre Dillardshared
    OT · #22
    Contributor
Samuel Cosmi
  • James Danielsshared
    C · #39
    Starter
  • Jack Conklinshared
    OT · #8
    TBD
  • Jason Spriggs
    OT · #48
    TBD
  • Andre Dillardshared
    OT · #22
    Contributor
  • Kolton Miller
    OT · #15
    Starter

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Teven Jenkins
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    2 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: James Daniels, Connor Williams. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Penei Sewell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    3 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Erik McCoy, Connor Williams, Cody Ford. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
Samuel Cosmi
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    2 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: James Daniels, Kolton Miller. The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.
  • Above-average athletic profile
    RAS 8.64 (86th percentile at OL). Athletic tools that translate cleanly to the NFL.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Snap share
Teven JenkinsPenei SewellSamuel Cosmi· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Teven Jenkins

Draftanomics projects Teven Jenkins as a first-round pick at #18 (range #5-#31, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jack Conklin, Andre Dillard (Contributor), James Daniels (Starter). Ceiling is Connor Williams (Franchise); floor is Dion Dawkins. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #18 sits within 12 spots of the room's #30 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Penei Sewell

Draftanomics projects Penei Sewell as a first-round pick at #11 (range #3-#19, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Erik McCoy (Franchise), Garett Bolles, Connor Williams (Franchise). Ceiling is Erik McCoy (Franchise); floor is Andre Dillard (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #11 sits within 7 spots of the room's #4 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Samuel Cosmi

Draftanomics projects Samuel Cosmi as a Day 2 pick at #34 (range #24-#44, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: James Daniels (Starter), Jack Conklin, Jason Spriggs. Ceiling is Kolton Miller (Starter); floor is Jason Spriggs. RAS 8.64 (86th percentile at OL). Athletic tools that translate cleanly to the NFL. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #34 sits within 12 spots of the room's #46 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.