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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2021 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
AR
Aaron Robinson
CB · Central Florida
22.5 yo · 5'11" · 186 lb
DD
Divine Deablo
CB · Virginia Tech
22.7 yo · 6'3" · 226 lb
TC
Tyson Campbell
CB · Georgia
21.1 yo · 6'1" · 193 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Aaron Robinson
Predicted pick
#77
range #33–#189
Bust probability· rough estimate
44%
Consensus rank
#80
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Divine Deablo
Predicted pick
#91
range #35–#212
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
#116
on 6 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Tyson Campbell
Predicted pick
#76
range #29–#194
Bust probability· rough estimate
21%
Consensus rank
#52
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$18Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Aaron Robinson· CB / S
  • Divine Deablo· CB / S
  • Tyson Campbell· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAaron Robinson0
  • AthleticismAaron Robinson21
  • AgeAaron Robinson82
  • ConsensusDivine Deablo28
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Aaron Robinson50
  • Breakout ageAaron Robinson50
  • WorkloadAaron Robinson100
  • RAS × productionDivine Deablo99

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Aaron Robinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Divine Deablo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyson Campbell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Aaron Robinson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Divine Deablo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyson Campbell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Aaron RobinsonDivine DeabloTyson Campbell· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Aaron Robinson

+0.07 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus; +0.02 production trajectory

Divine Deablo

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 athlete×producer interaction

Tyson Campbell

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.02 charting pass rush snap weighted; +0.02 boards with him top-50