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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2021 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2021 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DL)
BB
Boogie Basham
DL · Wake Forest
23.4 yo · — · —
BB
Bobby Brown
DL · Texas A&M
20.7 yo · — · —
JM
Jonathan Marshall
DL · Arkansas
23.6 yo · 6'3" · 310 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Boogie Basham
Predicted pick
#207
range #124–#258
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Bobby Brown
Predicted pick
#202
range #61–#245
Bust probability
13%
Consensus rank
#106
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Jonathan Marshall
Predicted pick
#167
range #110–#260
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Boogie Basham· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Bobby Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jonathan Marshall· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionBoogie Basham0
  • AthleticismBoogie Basham19
  • AgeBobby Brown83
  • ConsensusBobby Brown28
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Boogie Basham50
  • Breakout ageBoogie Basham50
  • WorkloadBoogie Basham100
  • RAS × productionBoogie Basham30

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Boogie Basham
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Bobby Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jonathan Marshall
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Boogie Basham
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Bobby Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jonathan Marshall
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Boogie BashamBobby BrownJonathan Marshall· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Boogie Basham

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Bobby Brown

−0.05 production trajectory; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age

Jonathan Marshall

−0.05 age; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.02 charting total career snaps