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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
ZB
Zack Baun
LB · Wisconsin
23.3 yo · 6'2" · 238 lb
EW
Evan Weaver
LB · California
21.7 yo · 6'2" · 237 lb
LW
Logan Wilson
LB · Wyoming
23.8 yo · 6'2" · 241 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Zack Baun
Predicted pick
#44
range #22–#81
Bust probability
1%
Consensus rank
#37
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Evan Weaver
Predicted pick
#79
range #32–#197
Bust probability
45%
Consensus rank
#87
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Logan Wilson
Predicted pick
#117
range #43–#215
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#127
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Zack Baun· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Evan Weaver· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Logan Wilson· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionEvan Weaver65
  • AthleticismZack Baun29
  • AgeEvan Weaver93
  • ConsensusZack Baun19
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Zack Baun50
  • Breakout ageZack Baun50
  • WorkloadZack Baun100
  • RAS × productionZack Baun0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Zack Baun
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Evan Weaver
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Logan Wilson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Zack Baun
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Evan Weaver
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Logan Wilson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Zack BaunEvan WeaverLogan Wilson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Zack Baun

+0.07 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 charting yards per coverage snap career avg

Evan Weaver

+0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Logan Wilson

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.05 age; −0.02 scout consensus