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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
DT
Davion Taylor
LB · Colorado
21.7 yo · 6'0" · 228 lb
EW
Evan Weaver
LB · California
21.7 yo · 6'2" · 237 lb
TB
T.J. Brunson
LB · South Carolina
22.4 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Davion Taylor
Predicted pick
#144
range #70–#242
Bust probability
46%
Consensus rank
#155
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Evan Weaver
Predicted pick
#79
range #32–#197
Bust probability
45%
Consensus rank
#87
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
T.J. Brunson
Predicted pick
#100
range #100–#257
Bust probability
10%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Davion Taylor· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Evan Weaver· EDGE / DL / LB
  • T.J. Brunson· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionEvan Weaver65
  • AthleticismDavion Taylor29
  • AgeT.J. Brunson100
  • ConsensusEvan Weaver11
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Davion Taylor50
  • Breakout ageDavion Taylor50
  • WorkloadDavion Taylor100
  • RAS × productionDavion Taylor0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Davion Taylor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Evan Weaver
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
T.J. Brunson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Davion Taylor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Evan Weaver
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
T.J. Brunson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Davion TaylorEvan WeaverT.J. Brunson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Davion Taylor

+0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating

Evan Weaver

+0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

T.J. Brunson

+0.05 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting pass-block efficiency career avg