Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
CH
C.J. Henderson
CB · Florida
21.6 yo · 6'1" · 204 lb
JO
Jeff Okudah
CB · Ohio St.
21.2 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
Low confidence
Take Jeff Okudah over C.J. Henderson.

Decisive factor: 25-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

C.J. Henderson
Predicted pick
#41
range #5–#174
Bust probability· rough estimate
4%
Consensus rank
#16
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Jeff Okudah
Predicted pick
#16
range #1–#59
Bust probability· rough estimate
14%
Consensus rank
#3
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • C.J. Henderson· CB / S
  • Jeff Okudah· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionC.J. Henderson0
  • AthleticismC.J. Henderson84
  • AgeC.J. Henderson61
  • ConsensusJeff Okudah100
  • Per-play impact (PPA)C.J. Henderson50
  • Breakout ageC.J. Henderson50
  • WorkloadC.J. Henderson100
  • RAS × productionC.J. Henderson0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
C.J. Henderson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jeff Okudah
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

C.J. Henderson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jeff Okudah
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
C.J. HendersonJeff Okudah· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

C.J. Henderson

+0.10 boards with him top-100; +0.07 scout consensus; −0.03 charting missed tackle rate

Jeff Okudah

+0.10 scout consensus; +0.09 boards with him top-100; +0.02 number of boards ranking him