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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
LM
Larrell Murchison
DT · North Carolina St.
23.0 yo · — · —
JK
Javon Kinlaw
DT · South Carolina
22.6 yo · — · —
LF
Leki Fotu
DT · Utah
21.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Larrell Murchison
Predicted pick
#196
range #113–#247
Bust probability
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Javon Kinlaw
Predicted pick
#18
range #6–#62
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#12
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel
Leki Fotu
Predicted pick
#202
range #61–#245
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
#69
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Larrell Murchison· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Javon Kinlaw· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Leki Fotu· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionLarrell Murchison0
  • AthleticismJavon Kinlaw75
  • AgeLeki Fotu91
  • ConsensusJavon Kinlaw82
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Larrell Murchison50
  • Breakout ageLarrell Murchison50
  • WorkloadLarrell Murchison100
  • RAS × productionLarrell Murchison0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Larrell Murchison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Javon Kinlaw
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Leki Fotu
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Larrell Murchison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Javon Kinlaw
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Leki Fotu
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Larrell MurchisonJavon KinlawLeki Fotu· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Larrell Murchison

−0.05 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Javon Kinlaw

+0.09 boards with him top-100; +0.08 scout consensus; +0.03 athleticism (RAS)

Leki Fotu

−0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; +0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100