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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2020 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT, G)
PW
Prince Tega Wanogho
OT · Auburn
— · — · —
BB
Ben Bredeson
G · Michigan
— · — · —
JS
John Simpson
G · Clemson
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Prince Tega Wanogho
Predicted pick
#111
range #31–#219
Bust probability· rough estimate
71%
Consensus rank
#80
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Ben Bredeson
Predicted pick
#82
range #35–#200
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#93
on 8 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
John Simpson
Predicted pick
#150
range #37–#234
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
#118
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Prince Tega Wanogho· Offensive line
  • Ben Bredeson· Offensive line
  • John Simpson· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionPrince Tega Wanogho50
  • AthleticismBen Bredeson38
  • AgeJohn Simpson71
  • ConsensusBen Bredeson22
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Prince Tega Wanogho50
  • Breakout agePrince Tega Wanogho50
  • WorkloadPrince Tega Wanogho50
  • RAS × productionJohn Simpson100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Prince Tega Wanogho
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ben Bredeson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
John Simpson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Prince Tega Wanogho
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ben Bredeson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
John Simpson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Prince Tega WanoghoBen BredesonJohn Simpson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Prince Tega Wanogho

+0.10 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Ben Bredeson

+0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 charting gap run block grade

John Simpson

−0.04 HS recruit rating; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 athlete×producer interaction