3 prospects · 2020 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting gap run block grade; +0.02 age
Draftanomics projects Josh Jones as a first-round pick at #21 (range #10-#32, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The comp set is strong: 2 of 2 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Chukwuma Okorafor (Starter), Alex Cappa (Franchise), Will Richardson (Contributor). Ceiling is Alex Cappa (Franchise); floor is Will Richardson (Contributor). The call is a hold at slot: the model's #21 sits within 11 spots of the room's #32 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 6% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Mekhi Becton as a first-round pick at #17 (range #3-#31, wide band). Bust probability sits at 3% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jason Spriggs, Kolton Miller (Starter), Jack Conklin. Ceiling is Connor Williams (Franchise); floor is Jason Spriggs. RAS 8.83 (88th percentile at OT). Athletic tools that translate cleanly to the NFL. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #17 sits within 3 spots of the room's #14 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 3% bust probability break ties on draft day.