3 prospects · 2019 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Greg Little as a Day 2 pick at #45 (range #6-#84, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Garett Bolles, Jerald Hawkins, Antonio Garcia. Ceiling is Garett Bolles; floor is Adam Bisnowaty. The call is a value lean: #45 against a consensus #59 is a 14-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Cody Ford as a first-round pick at #17 (range #1-#45, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Cam Robinson, Jerald Hawkins, Ronnie Stanley. Ceiling is Ronnie Stanley; floor is Jerald Hawkins. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #17 sits within 7 spots of the room's #24 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Dalton Risner as a top-10 pick at #2 (range #1-#38, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Garett Bolles, Antonio Garcia, Cole Toner. Ceiling is Garett Bolles; floor is Cole Toner. The call is a value lean: #2 against a consensus #30 is a 28-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.