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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (TE)
KW
Kahale Warring
TE · San Diego St.
22.1 yo · 6'5" · 252 lb
FM
Foster Moreau
TE · LSU
22.0 yo · 6'4" · 253 lb
Tiebreaker
Low confidence — essentially tied
Truly tied on the model.

Kahale Warring and Foster Moreau project within 8 picks of each other, and neither bust risk nor the historical comps can separate them. Take the one at the position of greater need.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kahale Warring
Predicted pick
#59
range #44–#74
Bust probability
65%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
#136
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Foster Moreau
Predicted pick
#184
range #71–#268
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#105
on 4 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kahale Warring· RB / WR / TE
  • Foster Moreau· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKahale Warring97
  • AthleticismKahale Warring29
  • AgeFoster Moreau90
  • ConsensusKahale Warring23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kahale Warring50
  • Breakout ageKahale Warring50
  • WorkloadKahale Warring100
  • RAS × productionKahale Warring0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kahale Warring
  • Jesse James
    TE · #160
    Franchise
  • Jeremy Sprinkle
    TE · #154
    Bust
  • Malcolm Johnson
    TE · #195
    Starter
  • Jake Butt
    TE · #145
    TBD
  • Bucky Hodges
    TE · #201
    TBD
Foster Moreau
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kahale Warring
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #86 by HOU in 2019 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • TE slow 40 (4.67s)
    40-yard dash of 4.67s — below-average separation speed for the position.
  • Consensus skeptic
    22 boards place him at mean rank #89; model has him #59 — a 30-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
  • Promising comp group
    2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes hit Starter-or-better: Jesse James, Malcolm Johnson.
Foster Moreau
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kahale WarringFoster Moreau· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kahale Warring

Draftanomics projects Kahale Warring (age 22.1 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #59 (range #44-#74, wide band). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is strong: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Jesse James (Franchise), Jeremy Sprinkle (Bust), Malcolm Johnson (Starter). Ceiling is Jesse James (Franchise); floor is Bucky Hodges. Drafted #86 by HOU in 2019 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 30 spots ahead of the room (board #59 vs consensus #89) — but size the bet for the 65% bust probability; this is a price edge, not a safety edge.

Foster Moreau

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 lowest board ranking; −0.03 Power-5 production share