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Draftanomics

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2019 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G, OT)
CL
Chris Lindstrom
G · Boston Col.
— · — · —
DR
Dalton Risner
OT · Kansas St.
— · 6'5" · 312 lb
AD
Andre Dillard
OT · Washington St.
— · 6'5" · 315 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Chris Lindstrom
Predicted pick
#37
range #23–#51
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#33
on 25 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$25Mmodel
Dalton Risner
Predicted pick
#2
range #1–#38
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#27
on 25 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Andre Dillard
Predicted pick
#9
range #1–#42
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#23
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Chris Lindstrom· Offensive line
  • Dalton Risner· Offensive line
  • Andre Dillard· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionChris Lindstrom50
  • AthleticismChris Lindstrom31
  • AgeDalton Risner68
  • ConsensusChris Lindstrom42
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Chris Lindstrom50
  • Breakout ageChris Lindstrom50
  • WorkloadChris Lindstrom50
  • RAS × productionDalton Risner66

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Garett BollesOT · TBD→ shared byDalton RisnerAndre Dillard
  • Antonio GarciaOT · TBD→ shared byDalton RisnerAndre Dillard
  • Willie BeaversOT · TBD→ shared byDalton RisnerAndre Dillard
Chris Lindstrom
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Dalton Risner
  • Garett Bollesshared
    OT · #20
    TBD
  • Antonio Garciashared
    OT · #85
    TBD
  • Cole Toner
    OT · #170
    TBD
  • Joe Haeg
    OT · #155
    TBD
  • Willie Beaversshared
    OT · #121
    TBD
Andre Dillard
  • Jack Conklin
    OT · #8
    TBD
  • Garett Bollesshared
    OT · #20
    TBD
  • Alex Lewis
    OT · #130
    TBD
  • Antonio Garciashared
    OT · #85
    TBD
  • Willie Beaversshared
    OT · #121
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Chris Lindstrom
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Dalton Risner
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Andre Dillard
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Snap share
Chris LindstromDalton RisnerAndre Dillard· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Chris Lindstrom

Draftanomics projects Chris Lindstrom as a Day 2 pick at #37 (range #23-#51, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #37 sits within 3 spots of the room's #34 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.

Dalton Risner

Draftanomics projects Dalton Risner as a top-10 pick at #2 (range #1-#38, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Garett Bolles, Antonio Garcia, Cole Toner. Ceiling is Garett Bolles; floor is Cole Toner. The call is a value lean: #2 against a consensus #30 is a 28-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.

Andre Dillard

Draftanomics projects Andre Dillard as a top-10 pick at #9 (range #1-#42, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Jack Conklin, Garett Bolles, Alex Lewis. Ceiling is Jack Conklin; floor is Alex Lewis. The call is a value lean: #9 against a consensus #24 is a 15-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.