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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
EE
Emeke Egbule
LB · Houston
22.5 yo · 6'2" · 245 lb
DD
Deshaun Davis
LB · Auburn
23.3 yo · 5'11" · 234 lb
RC
Ryan Connelly
LB · Wisconsin
23.6 yo · 6'2" · 242 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Emeke Egbule
Predicted pick
#86
range #39–#204
Bust probability
46%
Consensus rank
#108
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Deshaun Davis
Predicted pick
#208
range #125–#259
Bust probability
46%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Ryan Connelly
Predicted pick
#128
range #98–#258
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Emeke Egbule· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Deshaun Davis· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Ryan Connelly· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionEmeke Egbule73
  • AthleticismEmeke Egbule41
  • AgeEmeke Egbule70
  • ConsensusEmeke Egbule21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Emeke Egbule50
  • Breakout ageEmeke Egbule50
  • WorkloadEmeke Egbule100
  • RAS × productionEmeke Egbule0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Emeke Egbule
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Deshaun Davis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ryan Connelly
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Emeke Egbule
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Deshaun Davis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ryan Connelly
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Emeke EgbuleDeshaun DavisRyan Connelly· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Emeke Egbule

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.02 college production; +0.02 lowest board ranking

Deshaun Davis

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; +0.03 charting catch rate allowed

Ryan Connelly

−0.06 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting run defense snap weighted