Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2019 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (RB)
MW
Mike Weber
RB · Ohio St.
21.7 yo · 5'10" · 211 lb
DH
Damien Harris
RB · Alabama
22.2 yo · 5'10" · 216 lb
DW
Dexter Williams
RB · Notre Dame
22.3 yo · 5'11" · 212 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Mike Weber
Predicted pick
#190
range #49–#233
Bust probability
69%
Consensus rank
#159
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Damien Harris
Predicted pick
#98
range #51–#216
Bust probability
52%
Consensus rank
#78
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel
Dexter Williams
Predicted pick
#158
range #45–#242
Bust probability
72%
Consensus rank
#87
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$1Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Mike Weber· RB / WR / TE
  • Damien Harris· RB / WR / TE
  • Dexter Williams· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMike Weber32
  • AthleticismMike Weber29
  • AgeMike Weber88
  • ConsensusMike Weber23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Mike Weber50
  • Breakout ageMike Weber50
  • WorkloadMike Weber100
  • RAS × productionDexter Williams92

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Mike Weber
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Damien Harris
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Dexter Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Mike Weber
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Damien Harris
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Dexter Williams
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Mike WeberDamien HarrisDexter Williams· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Mike Weber

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; +0.03 lowest board ranking

Damien Harris

+0.08 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season

Dexter Williams

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 production trajectory; −0.03 charting total career snaps