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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2019 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KH
Kelvin Harmon
WR · North Carolina St.
22.4 yo · — · —
JA
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR · Stanford
22.3 yo · — · —
NH
N'Keal Harry
WR · Arizona St.
21.4 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kelvin Harmon
Predicted pick
#62
range #36–#166
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
#45
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
Predicted pick
#87
range #31–#208
Bust probability
1%
Consensus rank
#59
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
N'Keal Harry
Predicted pick
#18
range #1–#61
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#32
on 25 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kelvin Harmon· RB / WR / TE
  • JJ Arcega-Whiteside· RB / WR / TE
  • N'Keal Harry· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKelvin Harmon32
  • AthleticismKelvin Harmon29
  • AgeJJ Arcega-Whiteside77
  • ConsensusKelvin Harmon35
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kelvin Harmon50
  • Breakout ageKelvin Harmon50
  • WorkloadKelvin Harmon100
  • RAS × productionKelvin Harmon0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kelvin Harmon
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
N'Keal Harry
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kelvin Harmon
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
N'Keal Harry
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kelvin HarmonJJ Arcega-WhitesideN'Keal Harry· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kelvin Harmon

+0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.02 HS recruit rating

JJ Arcega-Whiteside

+0.07 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting: deep-route grade, final season; +0.02 boards with him top-50

N'Keal Harry

+0.09 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.03 rank within position+class