2 prospects · 2019 draft
Decisive factor: 35-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kaleb McGary as a Day 2 pick at #39 (range #10-#68, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Jerald Hawkins, Shon Coleman, Taylor Decker. Ceiling is Jack Conklin; floor is Jerald Hawkins. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 30 spots ahead of the room (board #39 vs consensus #69), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Erik McCoy as a top-10 pick at #4 (range #1-#57, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Pat Elflein, Ryan Kelly, Graham Glasgow. Ceiling is Ryan Kelly; floor is Austin Blythe. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 39 spots ahead of the room (board #4 vs consensus #43), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.