3 prospects · 2018 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Taven Bryan (age 22.1 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #75 (range #49-#101, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Sheldon Rankins (Starter), Kenny Clark (Starter), Andrew Billings (Bust). Ceiling is Sheldon Rankins (Starter); floor is Maliek Collins (Starter). The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #28 and the model won't take him before #75 — a 47-spot markdown. The 47-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.
+0.08 scout consensus; +0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50
Draftanomics projects Maurice Hurst Jr. (age 23.0 at draft) as a first-round pick at #19 (range #1-#45, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Sheldon Rankins (Starter), Kenny Clark (Starter), Andrew Billings (Bust). Ceiling is Sheldon Rankins (Starter); floor is Jonathan Bullard (Starter). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #19 sits within 9 spots of the room's #28 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.