2 prospects · 2018 draft
Decisive factor: 143-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Malik Jefferson (age 21.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #49 (range #30-#68, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Deion Jones (Starter), B.J. Goodson (Contributor), Myles Jack (Starter). Ceiling is Shaq Thompson (Starter); floor is B.J. Goodson (Contributor). The call is a value lean: #49 against a consensus #68 is a 19-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.
Draftanomics projects Joel Iyiegbuniwe (age 22.5 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #192 (range #141-#243, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Kristjan Sokoli, Preston Smith (Franchise), Cory James (Starter). Ceiling is Preston Smith (Franchise); floor is Kristjan Sokoli. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 179 spots ahead of the room (board #192 vs consensus #371), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.