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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2018 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
CA
Cornell Armstrong
CB · Southern Miss
22.6 yo · — · —
KM
Kamrin Moore
CB · Boston Col.
21.6 yo · 5'11" · 200 lb
DP
Darius Phillips
CB · Western Michigan
22.8 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Cornell Armstrong
Predicted pick
#239
range #102–#254
Bust probability· rough estimate
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Kamrin Moore
Predicted pick
#135
range #105–#265
Bust probability· rough estimate
40%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Darius Phillips
Predicted pick
#191
range #108–#242
Bust probability· rough estimate
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Cornell Armstrong· CB / S
  • Kamrin Moore· CB / S
  • Darius Phillips· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKamrin Moore50
  • AthleticismCornell Armstrong47
  • AgeKamrin Moore87
  • ConsensusDarius Phillips8
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Cornell Armstrong50
  • Breakout ageCornell Armstrong50
  • WorkloadCornell Armstrong100
  • RAS × productionCornell Armstrong0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Cornell Armstrong
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kamrin Moore
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Darius Phillips
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Cornell Armstrong
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kamrin Moore
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Darius Phillips
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Cornell ArmstrongKamrin MooreDarius Phillips· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Cornell Armstrong

−0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus; −0.02 charting yards per coverage snap career avg

Kamrin Moore

+0.06 charting coverage grade career avg; +0.03 age; −0.02 boards with him top-100

Darius Phillips

+0.05 charting coverage grade career avg; −0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season