2 prospects · 2018 draft
Decisive factor: 56-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Mason Cole as a mid-round flyer at #118 (range #69-#167, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Austin Blythe, Max Tuerk, Joey Hunt. Ceiling is Max Tuerk; floor is Austin Blythe. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #81 and the model won't take him before #118 — a 37-spot markdown. The 37-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.
Draftanomics projects Will Clapp as a mid-round flyer at #174 (range #129-#219, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Austin Blythe, Graham Glasgow, Hroniss Grasu. Ceiling is Hroniss Grasu; floor is Austin Blythe. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #134 and the model won't take him before #174 — a 40-spot markdown. The 40-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.