Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2018 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT)
CO
Chukwuma Okorafor
OT · Western Michigan
— · — · —
AC
Alex Cappa
OT · Humboldt St.
— · — · —
WR
Will Richardson
OT · North Carolina St.
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Chukwuma Okorafor
Predicted pick
#97
range #41–#218
Bust probability· rough estimate
8%
Consensus rank
#69
on 17 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Alex Cappa
Predicted pick
#94
range #47–#212
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
#83
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel
Will Richardson
Predicted pick
#170
range #57–#254
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
#86
on 4 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Chukwuma Okorafor· Offensive line
  • Alex Cappa· Offensive line
  • Will Richardson· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionChukwuma Okorafor50
  • AthleticismChukwuma Okorafor54
  • AgeAlex Cappa75
  • ConsensusAlex Cappa23
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Chukwuma Okorafor50
  • Breakout ageChukwuma Okorafor50
  • WorkloadChukwuma Okorafor50
  • RAS × productionChukwuma Okorafor0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Chukwuma Okorafor
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Alex Cappa
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Will Richardson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Chukwuma Okorafor
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Alex Cappa
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Will Richardson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Chukwuma OkoraforAlex CappaWill Richardson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Chukwuma Okorafor

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 number of boards ranking him; −0.02 charting true-pass-set pass block grade mean

Alex Cappa

+0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 age; −0.02 boards with him top-100

Will Richardson

−0.02 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age; −0.02 charting true-pass-set sacks per snap career