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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2018 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
TS
Tre'Quan Smith
WR · Central Florida
22.3 yo · — · —
JW
James Washington
WR · Oklahoma St.
22.1 yo · 5'11" · 213 lb
KC
Keke Coutee
WR · Texas Tech
21.3 yo · 5'10" · 181 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Tre'Quan Smith
Predicted pick
#148
range #35–#232
Bust probability
13%
Consensus rank
#100
on 5 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
James Washington
Predicted pick
#36
range #14–#73
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#41
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Keke Coutee
Predicted pick
#173
range #60–#257
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
#143
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Tre'Quan Smith· RB / WR / TE
  • James Washington· RB / WR / TE
  • Keke Coutee· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJames Washington91
  • AthleticismTre'Quan Smith47
  • AgeKeke Coutee94
  • ConsensusJames Washington53
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Tre'Quan Smith50
  • Breakout ageTre'Quan Smith50
  • WorkloadTre'Quan Smith100
  • RAS × productionTre'Quan Smith0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Tre'Quan Smith
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
James Washington
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Keke Coutee
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Tre'Quan Smith
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
James Washington
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Keke Coutee
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Tre'Quan SmithJames WashingtonKeke Coutee· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Tre'Quan Smith

−0.03 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age; +0.02 charting gap run block grade

James Washington

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.03 scout consensus

Keke Coutee

−0.04 production trajectory; +0.03 age; +0.02 spread across boards