3 prospects · 2018 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Joel Iyiegbuniwe (age 22.5 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #192 (range #141-#243, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 11% — low. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Kristjan Sokoli, Preston Smith (Franchise), Cory James (Starter). Ceiling is Preston Smith (Franchise); floor is Kristjan Sokoli. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #192 stands alone — and with bust risk at 11%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Peter Kalambayi (age 22.8 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #200 (range #171-#229, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 16% — manageable. The comp set is mixed: 2 starters-or-better vs 2 backups-or-busts among the 4 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Geneo Grissom (Contributor), Hayes Pullard (Starter), Neiron Ball (Bust). Ceiling is Antonio Morrison (Starter); floor is Geneo Grissom (Contributor). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #200 stands alone — and with bust risk at 16%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Kenny Young (age 22.4 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #121 (range #80-#162, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 15% — manageable. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Denzel Perryman (Franchise), Antonio Morrison (Starter), Matthew Ioannidis (Starter). Ceiling is Denzel Perryman (Franchise); floor is Anthony Chickillo (Contributor). No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #121 stands alone — and with bust risk at 15%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.