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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2018 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
IO
Isaiah Oliver
CB · Colorado
21.6 yo · 6'1" · 190 lb
MH
Mike Hughes
CB · Central Florida
21.2 yo · 5'11" · 191 lb
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take Mike Hughes over Isaiah Oliver.

Decisive factor: 22-pick gap on Draftanomics projection. Reinforced by a bust risk 8 points lower.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Isaiah Oliver
Predicted pick
#72
range #16–#193
Bust probability· rough estimate
18%
Consensus rank
#39
on 22 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Mike Hughes
Predicted pick
#50
range #24–#154
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
#35
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Isaiah Oliver· CB / S
  • Mike Hughes· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionIsaiah Oliver50
  • AthleticismIsaiah Oliver47
  • AgeMike Hughes77
  • ConsensusIsaiah Oliver38
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Isaiah Oliver50
  • Breakout ageIsaiah Oliver50
  • WorkloadIsaiah Oliver100
  • RAS × productionIsaiah Oliver0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Isaiah Oliver
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Mike Hughes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Isaiah Oliver
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Mike Hughes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Isaiah OliverMike Hughes· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Isaiah Oliver

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Mike Hughes

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.03 charting coverage grade career avg