2 prospects · 2018 draft
Decisive factor: 24-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects James Daniels as a first-round pick at #31 (range #1-#90, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Ryan Kelly, Graham Glasgow, Austin Blythe. Ceiling is Ryan Kelly; floor is Austin Blythe. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #31 and the room's #31 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Connor Williams as a top-10 pick at #7 (range #1-#43, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Jack Conklin, Alex Lewis, Willie Beavers. Ceiling is Jack Conklin; floor is Cole Toner. The call is a value lean: #7 against a consensus #29 is a 22-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early.