Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2018 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2018 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (C, OT)
JD
James Daniels
C · Iowa
— · 6'3" · 306 lb
CW
Connor Williams
OT · Texas
— · 6'5" · 296 lb
KM
Kolton Miller
OT · UCLA
— · 6'9" · 309 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

James Daniels
Predicted pick
#31
range #19–#74
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
#30
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Connor Williams
Predicted pick
#7
range #10–#58
Bust probability· rough estimate
3%
Consensus rank
#27
on 26 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Kolton Miller
Predicted pick
#62
range #36–#166
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
#46
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$27Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • James Daniels· Offensive line
  • Connor Williams· Offensive line
  • Kolton Miller· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJames Daniels50
  • AthleticismKolton Miller84
  • AgeKolton Miller52
  • ConsensusConnor Williams49
  • Per-play impact (PPA)James Daniels50
  • Breakout ageJames Daniels50
  • WorkloadJames Daniels50
  • RAS × productionJames Daniels0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
James Daniels
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Connor Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kolton Miller
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

James Daniels
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Connor Williams
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kolton Miller
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
James DanielsConnor WilliamsKolton Miller· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

James Daniels

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50; +0.02 number of boards ranking him

Connor Williams

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting gap run block grade; +0.04 boards with him top-50

Kolton Miller

+0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.02 athleticism (combine)