2 prospects · 2018 draft
Decisive factor: 101-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Tarvarius Moore (age 21.7 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #88 (range #86-#90, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 38 spots ahead of the room (board #88 vs consensus #126), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Foyesade Oluokun (age 22.7 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #189 (range #168-#210, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 866 spots ahead of the room (board #189 vs consensus #1055), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.