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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT)
JH
Jerald Hawkins
OT · LSU
— · 6'6" · 305 lb
LC
Le'Raven Clark
OT · Texas Tech
— · 6'5" · 316 lb
CT
Cole Toner
OT · Harvard
— · 6'5" · 306 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jerald Hawkins
Predicted pick
#137
range #57–#245
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
#66
on 6 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Le'Raven Clark
Predicted pick
#151
range #48–#196
Bust probability· rough estimate
4%
Consensus rank
#128
on 12 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Cole Toner
Predicted pick
#81
range #25–#202
Bust probability· rough estimate
8%
Consensus rank
#117
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jerald Hawkins· Offensive line
  • Le'Raven Clark· Offensive line
  • Cole Toner· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJerald Hawkins50
  • AthleticismCole Toner31
  • AgeCole Toner97
  • ConsensusJerald Hawkins21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jerald Hawkins50
  • Breakout ageJerald Hawkins50
  • WorkloadJerald Hawkins50
  • RAS × productionJerald Hawkins35

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jerald Hawkins
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Le'Raven Clark
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Cole Toner
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jerald Hawkins
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Le'Raven Clark
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Cole Toner
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jerald HawkinsLe'Raven ClarkCole Toner· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jerald Hawkins

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Le'Raven Clark

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.03 charting total career snaps

Cole Toner

+0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps