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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
SD
Sheldon Day
DT · Notre Dame
21.8 yo · 6'1" · 293 lb
JB
Jonathan Bullard
DT · Florida
22.5 yo · — · —
SR
Sheldon Rankins
DT · Louisville
22.1 yo · 6'1" · 299 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Sheldon Day
Predicted pick
#82
range #38–#194
Bust probability
35%
Consensus rank
#87
on 11 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Jonathan Bullard
Predicted pick
#40
range #14–#144
Bust probability
23%
Consensus rank
#32
on 16 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Sheldon Rankins
Predicted pick
#18
range #6–#62
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
#11
on 20 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Sheldon Day· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jonathan Bullard· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Sheldon Rankins· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionSheldon Day50
  • AthleticismSheldon Day55
  • AgeSheldon Day84
  • ConsensusSheldon Rankins91
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Sheldon Day50
  • Breakout ageSheldon Day50
  • WorkloadSheldon Day50
  • RAS × productionSheldon Day100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Sheldon Day
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jonathan Bullard
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Sheldon Rankins
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Sheldon Day
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jonathan Bullard
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Sheldon Rankins
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Sheldon DayJonathan BullardSheldon Rankins· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Sheldon Day

−0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; +0.05 charting run def grade career avg; −0.04 charting total career snaps

Jonathan Bullard

+0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; −0.04 HS recruit rating

Sheldon Rankins

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.06 scout consensus; −0.03 charting total career snaps