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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
KR
Kalan Reed
CB · Southern Miss
22.3 yo · — · —
MC
Maurice Canady
CB · Virginia
21.9 yo · 6'1" · 193 lb
EM
Eric Murray
CB · Minnesota
22.3 yo · 5'11" · 199 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kalan Reed
Predicted pick
#155
range #42–#239
Bust probability· rough estimate
43%
Consensus rank
#57
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Maurice Canady
Predicted pick
#191
range #50–#234
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
#96
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Eric Murray
Predicted pick
#166
range #53–#250
Bust probability· rough estimate
10%
Consensus rank
#111
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kalan Reed· CB / S
  • Maurice Canady· CB / S
  • Eric Murray· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKalan Reed50
  • AthleticismEric Murray71
  • AgeKalan Reed88
  • ConsensusKalan Reed24
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kalan Reed50
  • Breakout ageKalan Reed50
  • WorkloadKalan Reed50
  • RAS × productionKalan Reed50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kalan Reed
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Maurice Canady
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Eric Murray
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kalan Reed
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Maurice Canady
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Eric Murray
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kalan ReedMaurice CanadyEric Murray· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kalan Reed

−0.04 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting catch rate allowed avg

Maurice Canady

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age

Eric Murray

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age