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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
DB
Daniel Braverman
WR · Western Michigan
22.6 yo · — · —
CM
Chris Moore
WR · Cincinnati
22.9 yo · 6'1" · 206 lb
RH
Rashard Higgins
WR · Colorado St.
21.6 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Daniel Braverman
Predicted pick
#157
range #44–#241
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#65
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Chris Moore
Predicted pick
#187
range #46–#230
Bust probability
20%
Consensus rank
#146
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Rashard Higgins
Predicted pick
#86
range #30–#207
Bust probability
14%
Consensus rank
#123
on 11 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Daniel Braverman· RB / WR / TE
  • Chris Moore· RB / WR / TE
  • Rashard Higgins· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDaniel Braverman0
  • AthleticismDaniel Braverman45
  • AgeRashard Higgins85
  • ConsensusChris Moore27
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Daniel Braverman50
  • Breakout ageDaniel Braverman50
  • WorkloadDaniel Braverman100
  • RAS × productionDaniel Braverman0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Daniel Braverman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Chris Moore
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rashard Higgins
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Daniel Braverman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Chris Moore
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rashard Higgins
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Daniel BravermanChris MooreRashard Higgins· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Daniel Braverman

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.02 charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg

Chris Moore

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.05 age

Rashard Higgins

−0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.03 age; +0.02 lowest board ranking